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Zcash signals: when has the model changed its mind?

This site runs an allocation model on data from its own Zcash node. When that model changes its mind — moves between bearish and bullish, or changes how much of a position it suggests holding — a message goes to a private Telegram channel.

The channel is paid. This page is the free part: every message it has sent, word for word, and what acting on each one would have done — published as it is decided, until the channel opens; a week late after that.

A message when something changes

Not hourly, not daily. The model is checked every hour, and it only speaks when it has moved far enough to mean it and stayed there. That is a handful of messages a month.

One summary a day

Where the model stands, what it is weighting, and the price move since yesterday. This one is allowed to say that nothing happened.

Every number can be checked

Each message names the last full day behind it, the block height it was worked out through, and where the price came from.

It is research, not advice

A rule built from one asset's past, on one node's data. It has been wrong before and this page shows when. The model will also change, and it says so when it does.

Not open yet. The channel is being tested. This page will carry the way in when it opens, and the record below fills up either way.

How following it would have done

$10,000 on Aug 7, moved to the share of ZEC each message suggested, at the price it quoted, with the rest in cash — through Nov 2. Each change costs 0.1% of the amount traded.

Following the messages
+187.0%
$28,698 now. Worst fall from a high: -14.8%.
Holding ZEC throughout
+147.8%
$24,783 now. Worst fall from a high: -32.0%.
What the timing was worth
+118.3 pts
Against holding its average share of ZEC, 52%, the whole time (+68.7%) — the same risk, never trading.

15 messages; 12 of them changed the position, costing $55 in trading fees. Of the 14 that could have been ignored, 4 helped and 10 hurt, judged by what the account did until the next message against what it would have done without the change.

$0$10k$20k$30k$40k0%100%live from hereSepOct
$0$10k$20k$30k$40k0%100%live from hereSepOct
Following the messages Holding ZEC Share of ZEC held (lower panel)

Read this before trusting any of it

Every call, and what it did

Newest first. Effect is the dollars the change made or cost until the next message, after fees. Tap message for the exact words the channel sent, or would have.

When (UTC)CallShare of ZECZEC thenNext 7 daysNext 30 daysEffect
Oct 12, 00:00
dry run · block 3,514,606
Neutral · CASH
message
ZEC signal: PARTIAL to CASH

Score 54, down from 57 when the last signal was sent (2026-10-11).
Suggested: CASH (0% of the position), was PARTIAL (30%).

ZEC $1276 (CoinGecko, 00:02 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-10-11, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,514,606.
Model v4 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
12% → 0% $1275.57 -11.5% — +$38
Oct 11, 18:00
dry run · block 3,514,325
Neutral · PARTIAL
message
The model changed. ZEC now reads Neutral

The model behind these messages is now v4. Everything it has said before was worked out a different way, so today's number is not comparable with last week's.

Score 57, up from 55 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-28).
Suggested: PARTIAL (12% of the position), was CASH (0%).

ZEC $1286 (CoinGecko, 18:02 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-10-10, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,514,325.
Model v4 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
0% → 12% $1285.74 -12.2% — -$32
Sep 28, 01:00
dry run · block 3,498,608
Neutral · CASH
message
ZEC signal: PARTIAL to CASH

Score 55, down from 57 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-26).
Suggested: CASH (0% of the position), was PARTIAL (30%).

ZEC $1574 (CoinGecko, 01:02 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-27, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,498,608.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
16% → 0% $1574.08 -15.2% -16.9% +$833
Sep 26, 23:00
dry run · block 3,497,373
Neutral · PARTIAL
message
ZEC signal: CASH to PARTIAL

Score 57, up from 55 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-26).
Suggested: PARTIAL (16% of the position), was CASH (0%).

ZEC $1658 (CoinGecko, 23:03 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-25, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,497,373.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
3% → 16% $1657.64 -21.5% -25.8% -$197
Sep 26, 01:00
dry run · block 3,496,316
Neutral · CASH
message
ZEC signal: PARTIAL to CASH

Score 55, down from 58 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-24).
Suggested: CASH (3% of the position), was PARTIAL (30%).

ZEC $1540 (CoinGecko, 01:00 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-25, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,496,316.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
40% → 3% $1540.04 -15.5% -20.1% -$832
Sep 24, 02:00
dry run · block 3,494,069
Neutral · PARTIAL
message
ZEC signal: Bullish to Neutral

Score 58, down from 61 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-22).
Suggested: PARTIAL (40% of the position).

ZEC $1493 (CoinGecko, 02:00 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-23, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,494,069.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
43% → 40% $1493.37 -10.6% -19.1% -$26
Sep 22, 01:00
dry run · block 3,491,733
Bullish · PARTIAL
message
ZEC signal: SCALE IN to PARTIAL

Score 61, down from 64 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-20).
Suggested: PARTIAL (43% of the position), was SCALE IN (70%).

ZEC $1468 (CoinGecko, 01:00 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-21, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,491,733.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
56% → 43% $1467.94 -3.5% -17.0% -$68
Sep 20, 20:00
dry run · block 3,490,337
Bullish · SCALE IN
message
ZEC signal: PARTIAL to SCALE IN

Score 64, up from 62 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-19).
Suggested: SCALE IN (56% of the position), was PARTIAL (30%).

ZEC $1521 (CoinGecko, 20:03 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-19, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,490,337.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
48% → 56% $1521.41 +4.6% -17.3% -$83
Sep 19, 22:00
dry run · block 3,489,293
Bullish · PARTIAL
message
ZEC signal: SCALE IN to PARTIAL

Score 62, up from 61 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-18).
Suggested: PARTIAL (48% of the position), was SCALE IN (70%).

ZEC $1471 (CoinGecko, 22:03 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-18, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,489,293.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
56% → 48% $1470.77 +12.1% -21.6% -$87
Sep 18, 01:00
dry run · block 3,487,131
Bullish · SCALE IN
message
ZEC signal: PARTIAL to SCALE IN

Score 61, up from 58 when the last signal was sent (2026-09-17).
Suggested: SCALE IN (56% of the position), was PARTIAL (30%).

ZEC $1464 (CoinGecko, 01:02 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-17, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,487,131.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
42% → 56% $1463.71 +6.2% -22.8% +$15
Sep 17, 11:00
dry run · block 3,486,477
Neutral · PARTIAL
message
First signal: ZEC reads Neutral

Score 58 out of 100.
Suggested: PARTIAL (42% of the position).

ZEC $1346 (CoinGecko, 11:03 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-16, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,486,477.
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
42% → 42% $1346.22 +15.1% -16.3% -$1
Sep 17, 08:00
dry run · block 3,486,318
Neutral · PARTIAL
message
First signal: ZEC reads Neutral

Score 58 out of 100.
Suggested: PARTIAL (42% of the position).

ZEC $1371 (CoinGecko, 08:02 UTC)
Chain data through block 3,486,318 (2026-09-16, the last full day)
Model v3 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
100% → 42% $1371.00 +13.0% -17.8% +$272
Sep 9, 01:00
replayed · block 3,476,762
Bullish · FULLY LONG
message
ZEC signal: Strong Buy to Bullish

Score 78, down from 83 when the last signal was sent (2026-08-24).
Suggested: FULLY LONG (100% of the position).

ZEC $1177 (CoinGecko, 01:05 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-09-08, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,476,762.
Model v4 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
100% → 100% $1177.09 +13.2% +2.6% $0
Aug 24, 02:00
replayed · block 3,458,420
Strong Buy · FULLY LONG
message
ZEC signal: Bullish to Strong Buy

Score 83, up from 68 when the last signal was sent (2026-08-07).
Suggested: FULLY LONG (100% of the position).

ZEC $851 (CoinGecko, 02:05 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-08-23, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,458,420.
Model v4 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
100% → 100% $851.21 -0.3% +76.1% $0
Aug 7, 02:00
replayed · block 3,438,932
Bullish · FULLY LONG
message
ZEC signal: SCALE IN to FULLY LONG

Score 68, up from 65 when the last signal was sent (2026-07-22).
Suggested: FULLY LONG (100% of the position), was SCALE IN (70%).

ZEC $498 (CoinGecko, 02:05 UTC)
Chain data through 2026-08-06, the last full day. Our node was at block 3,438,932.
Model v4 · 1-year horizon · 5-year window · mixed signals

A research tool, not financial advice. zecstats.com/signals
100% (start) $497.96 -1.0% +147.2% —

The same model, with every chart and control behind it, is on the research page — which needs a password. Nothing here is financial advice.

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